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The
benefit of designing a long-term strategy
The battle against market volatility is best combatted
with time. Compounding interest is is frequently underestimated
when calculating the return on cash and fixed interest
investments. Consider the table at the right. With
tow payments in early years, a long term growth rate
of 7.5% generates a million within 23 years.
Besides time, a sound investment strategy employs
sound investment discipline. This means acknowledging
mistakes early and adjusting portfolio composition
when trends change.
"More money has been lost anticipating a market crash
than actually during one," according to Peter Lynch,
legendary former manager of the Fidelity Magellen
fund. He does not believ in market timing.
According to his calculation, if you bought stocks
once a year and were unlucky enough to pick the worst
day to invest (i.e. when stocks were at their highest
prices) 30 years in row, you ended with an annual
return of 10.6%. if you were incredibly lucky and
invested on the best day of the year 30 years in a
row, you ended with annual return of 11.7%. so, the
difference between perfect timing and horrendous timing
is 1.1% - not a grand difference.
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